Adelaide v Western Bulldogs
2026-09-05 19:35:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

14.6

90

9.14

68

ELIMINATION FINAL

Adelaide won by 22 points

IN

Ah Chee

Taylor

OUT

IN

Lewis

McNeil

Kennedy

Sellwood

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	18 points	✓	4.2	0.51
Aggregate		69%	17 points	✓	5.4	0.46
		79%	23 points	✓	1.0	0.65
		78%	23 points	✓	1.3	0.64
		75%	24 points	✓	2.0	0.58
		74%	24 points	✓	2.0	0.57
		74%	20 points	✓	2.3	0.56
		73%	20 points	✓	1.7	0.55
Punters		73%	19 points	✓	3.2	0.54
		73%	19 points	✓	2.9	0.54
		71%	23 points	✓	1.0	0.51
		71%	17 points	✓	5.1	0.50
		71%	19 points	✓	3.2	0.50
		71%	20 points	✓	2.1	0.50
		70%	19 points	✓	3.1	0.49
		69%	19 points	✓	3.4	0.47
		69%	16 points	✓	5.8	0.47
		69%	11 points	✓	11.0	0.46
		69%	24 points	✓	2.0	0.46
		68%	13 points	✓	9.0	0.45
		68%	17 points	✓	5.1	0.44
		67%	13 points	✓	9.3	0.43
		67%	12 points	✓	10.5	0.41
		66%	19 points	✓	3.0	0.40
		64%	15 points	✓	6.7	0.36
		59%	7 points	✓	15.0	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	15.0	0.23
		55%	4 points	✓	18.0	0.15
		52%	2 points	✓	19.7	0.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.