Melbourne v Brisbane Lions
M.C.G.
16.8
104
15.12
102
Melbourne won by 2 points
IN
Taylor
Jefferson
Heath
Laurie
McDonald
Salem
Melksham
Lindsay
OUT
IN
Zakostelsky
Answerth
Zorko
Fort
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
76% | 24 points | ✗ | 26.2 | -1.09 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 22.6 | -0.83 |
|
|
89% | 36 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -2.17 |
|
|
84% | 31 points | ✗ | 32.6 | -1.67 |
|
|
83% | 33 points | ✗ | 34.8 | -1.60 |
|
|
83% | 32 points | ✗ | 33.9 | -1.59 |
|
|
81% | 34 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -1.40 |
|
|
81% | 27 points | ✗ | 29.2 | -1.36 |
|
|
80% | 30 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -1.35 |
|
|
80% | 26 points | ✗ | 28.4 | -1.29 |
|
Punters
|
|
78% | 28 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -1.18 |
|
|
76% | 26 points | ✗ | 27.9 | -1.07 |
|
|
76% | 26 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
74% | 18 points | ✗ | 19.5 | -0.95 |
|
|
74% | 23 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.94 |
|
|
73% | 23 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.91 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.83 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 18.5 | -0.67 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 16.9 | -0.63 |
|
|
68% | 18 points | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 17.6 | -0.61 |
|
|
67% | 12 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.59 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 16.1 | -0.59 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.59 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.55 |
|
|
65% | 17 points | ✗ | 18.5 | -0.53 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 14 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
59% | 12 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
55% | 8 points | ✗ | 10.2 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.13 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.