Carlton v Collingwood
2026-04-16 19:30:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

12.11

83

13.10

88

Collingwood won by 5 points

IN

Dean

Hayward

Weitering

Boyd

O'Keeffe

Derksen

OUT

IN

Hayes

Allan

Sidebottom

De Goey

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		64%	12 points	✓	6.7	0.36
Aggregate		64%	12 points	✓	7.3	0.35
		78%	27 points	✓	22.0	0.64
		72%	22 points	✓	17.0	0.53
		72%	17 points	✓	12.0	0.52
		71%	15 points	✓	10.1	0.51
		71%	20 points	✓	15.0	0.51
		71%	25 points	✓	20.0	0.50
		69%	19 points	✓	14.0	0.47
		69%	18 points	✓	12.9	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	9.8	0.44
		68%	13 points	✓	7.5	0.43
		66%	14 points	✓	8.6	0.41
		66%	12 points	✓	7.0	0.40
		66%	17 points	✓	12.2	0.40
		66%	15 points	✓	10.0	0.40
		66%	14 points	✓	9.0	0.40
		65%	12 points	✓	7.0	0.37
		62%	10 points	✓	5.2	0.32
		61%	7 points	✓	2.0	0.29
		61%	11 points	✓	6.0	0.29
		59%	6 points	✓	1.2	0.24
		59%	8 points	✓	2.6	0.24
Punters		59%	8 points	✓	2.6	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	1.9	0.22
		58%	6 points	✓	1.2	0.21
		57%	10 points	✓	5.2	0.18
		56%	4 points	✓	0.6	0.17
		56%	5 points	✓	0.2	0.16
		55%	5 points	✓	0.2	0.13
		55%	4 points	✗	8.6	-0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.