Gold Coast v Essendon
2026-04-18 13:15:00 +10:00
Carrara

17.17

119

17.8

110

Gold Coast won by 9 points

IN

Adams

Rogers

Humphrey

Petracca

Anderson

Clohesy

Davies

Gulbin

OUT

IN

El-Hawli

Prior

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		88%	39 points	✓	29.7	0.82
Aggregate		85%	37 points	✓	28.1	0.77
		94%	43 points	✓	33.9	0.92
		94%	50 points	✓	40.6	0.91
		93%	45 points	✓	36.3	0.89
		91%	40 points	✓	31.1	0.86
		90%	49 points	✓	39.6	0.85
		90%	47 points	✓	38.0	0.85
		90%	43 points	✓	33.9	0.85
Punters		90%	37 points	✓	28.3	0.84
		89%	40 points	✓	31.2	0.83
		88%	42 points	✓	32.6	0.81
		88%	38 points	✓	29.3	0.81
		87%	37 points	✓	28.0	0.81
		87%	39 points	✓	29.9	0.80
		87%	36 points	✓	27.0	0.80
		87%	38 points	✓	28.5	0.79
		86%	39 points	✓	29.5	0.78
		86%	36 points	✓	26.5	0.78
		85%	38 points	✓	29.0	0.77
		84%	50 points	✓	41.0	0.75
		83%	19 points	✓	10.0	0.73
		83%	35 points	✓	26.0	0.73
		82%	32 points	✓	23.1	0.71
		81%	29 points	✓	20.0	0.70
		79%	30 points	✓	20.7	0.67
		79%	26 points	✓	16.8	0.66
		79%	37 points	✓	28.0	0.66
		73%	26 points	✓	17.1	0.55
		73%	37 points	✓	27.9	0.54
		72%	19 points	✓	9.8	0.52

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.