Port Adelaide v Gold Coast
Adelaide Oval
10.11
71
9.13
67
Port Adelaide won by 4 points
IN
Ramm
Mackinlay
Atkins
Wines
Sinn
Lorenz
OUT
IN
Rogers
Humphrey
Rioli
Holman
Sexton
Adams
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 21.1 | -0.65 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.78 |
|
|
88% | 39 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -2.06 |
|
|
85% | 31 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -1.74 |
|
|
80% | 30 points | ✗ | 34.4 | -1.35 |
|
|
79% | 21 points | ✗ | 25.4 | -1.25 |
|
|
79% | 27 points | ✗ | 30.8 | -1.24 |
|
|
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -1.18 |
|
|
77% | 26 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -1.13 |
|
|
77% | 29 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -1.12 |
|
|
77% | 29 points | ✗ | 32.9 | -1.12 |
|
|
76% | 26 points | ✗ | 29.8 | -1.07 |
|
Punters
|
|
75% | 23 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -1.01 |
|
|
75% | 21 points | ✗ | 25.2 | -0.98 |
|
|
72% | 18 points | ✗ | 21.5 | -0.81 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 22.7 | -0.71 |
|
|
69% | 21 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 20.3 | -0.61 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 20.4 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 16.9 | -0.60 |
|
|
66% | 20 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.55 |
|
|
66% | 16 points | ✗ | 20.4 | -0.54 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 19.1 | -0.50 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.21 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.6 | -0.10 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 5.5 | -0.04 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.