Essendon v Carlton
2025-08-21 19:30:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

8.8

56

13.12

90

Carlton won by 34 points

IN

Shiel

Merrett

Gresham

Hobbs

OUT

IN

Camporeale

White

Fogarty

Lord

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		65%	13 points	✓	21.1	0.37
Aggregate		66%	14 points	✓	19.8	0.39
Punters		74%	22 points	✓	11.9	0.57
		74%	23 points	✓	10.8	0.57
		74%	22 points	✓	11.7	0.56
		72%	23 points	✓	11.0	0.53
		71%	21 points	✓	13.4	0.51
		70%	21 points	✓	13.5	0.49
		69%	16 points	✓	18.0	0.47
		68%	14 points	✓	20.1	0.45
		68%	19 points	✓	15.0	0.44
		68%	16 points	✓	18.0	0.44
		67%	15 points	✓	18.7	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	19.1	0.43
		67%	16 points	✓	18.1	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	20.1	0.40
		65%	14 points	✓	20.0	0.38
		65%	10 points	✓	24.0	0.38
		64%	17 points	✓	17.0	0.36
		64%	9 points	✓	25.5	0.34
		63%	13 points	✓	21.2	0.32
		62%	10 points	✓	24.0	0.31
		62%	9 points	✓	25.3	0.31
		60%	11 points	✓	23.3	0.27
		60%	5 points	✓	29.1	0.26
		57%	5 points	✓	28.7	0.18
		56%	7 points	✓	27.0	0.17
		55%	5 points	✓	29.2	0.13

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.