Western Bulldogs v Fremantle
Docklands
14.13
97
17.10
112
Fremantle won by 15 points
IN
Jones
Sanders
OUT
IN
Young
O'Driscoll
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
76% | 24 points | ✗ | 38.5 | -1.04 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
77% | 27 points | ✗ | 41.8 | -1.13 |
|
|
89% | 44 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -2.18 |
|
|
86% | 40 points | ✗ | 54.6 | -1.88 |
|
|
86% | 40 points | ✗ | 55.2 | -1.83 |
|
|
85% | 32 points | ✗ | 47.1 | -1.76 |
|
|
84% | 34 points | ✗ | 49.5 | -1.60 |
|
|
82% | 30 points | ✗ | 44.8 | -1.51 |
|
|
82% | 29 points | ✗ | 43.5 | -1.43 |
|
|
81% | 29 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -1.37 |
|
|
80% | 35 points | ✗ | 49.9 | -1.35 |
|
|
80% | 42 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -1.31 |
|
|
80% | 25 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -1.30 |
|
|
79% | 18 points | ✗ | 32.7 | -1.23 |
|
|
78% | 29 points | ✗ | 43.6 | -1.20 |
|
|
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 41.9 | -1.19 |
|
|
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 41.9 | -1.16 |
|
|
77% | 27 points | ✗ | 42.3 | -1.14 |
|
|
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -1.08 |
|
|
76% | 27 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
75% | 27 points | ✗ | 41.5 | -0.98 |
|
|
73% | 10 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.91 |
|
Punters
|
|
73% | 20 points | ✗ | 35.2 | -0.90 |
|
|
71% | 23 points | ✗ | 37.7 | -0.79 |
|
|
67% | 22 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
65% | 16 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -0.51 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.25 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.