Gold Coast v Richmond
2025-08-02 16:10:00 +10:00
Carrara

16.11

107

2.11

23

Gold Coast won by 84 points

IN

Miller

Lombard

OUT

IN

Armstrong

Campbell

Broad

Alger

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		89%	44 points	✓	40.3	0.84
Aggregate		90%	46 points	✓	38.2	0.84
		97%	57 points	✓	27.1	0.96
Punters		96%	56 points	✓	27.7	0.94
		95%	55 points	✓	29.0	0.93
		95%	52 points	✓	32.1	0.92
		94%	52 points	✓	32.2	0.92
		93%	51 points	✓	33.2	0.90
		93%	53 points	✓	31.0	0.90
		93%	57 points	✓	26.6	0.90
		93%	55 points	✓	29.4	0.89
		92%	44 points	✓	40.2	0.88
		92%	50 points	✓	33.7	0.87
		92%	51 points	✓	32.6	0.87
		92%	42 points	✓	42.5	0.87
		91%	50 points	✓	34.0	0.86
		91%	48 points	✓	35.8	0.86
		90%	50 points	✓	34.0	0.84
		89%	57 points	✓	27.0	0.83
		88%	43 points	✓	41.0	0.82
		88%	38 points	✓	46.0	0.81
		87%	38 points	✓	46.0	0.80
		87%	41 points	✓	43.0	0.80
		87%	45 points	✓	39.4	0.79
		85%	34 points	✓	50.4	0.77
		81%	37 points	✓	46.7	0.70
		80%	16 points	✓	67.5	0.67
		69%	20 points	✓	63.9	0.47

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.