Geelong v Port Adelaide @ Kardinia Park

23.15

153

9.11

Geelong won by 88 points

Whitlock

Liddy

Lorenz

Williams

Rozee

Bergman

Lukosius

Evans

OUT

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	89%	44 points	✓	44.0	0.83
Aggregate	88%	46 points	✓	42.4	0.82
	99%	69 points	✓	19.2	0.98
	97%	59 points	✓	28.6	0.95
Punters	96%	60 points	✓	28.5	0.95
	95%	77 points	✓	11.0	0.93
	94%	60 points	✓	27.9	0.91
	94%	55 points	✓	33.1	0.91
	94%	56 points	✓	31.5	0.91
	94%	57 points	✓	31.0	0.90
	94%	51 points	✓	37.2	0.90
	93%	58 points	✓	30.2	0.90
	92%	52 points	✓	36.3	0.88
	92%	43 points	✓	44.6	0.87
	90%	47 points	✓	41.0	0.85
	90%	46 points	✓	42.0	0.85
	89%	47 points	✓	41.0	0.83
	89%	40 points	✓	48.0	0.82
	87%	37 points	✓	51.5	0.79
	85%	34 points	✓	54.4	0.77
	85%	50 points	✓	38.0	0.76
	83%	39 points	✓	49.2	0.74
	83%	38 points	✓	49.5	0.73
	81%	22 points	✓	66.2	0.70
	78%	17 points	✓	71.0	0.65
	78%	31 points	✓	56.6	0.63
	74%	22 points	✓	66.0	0.57
	69%	20 points	✓	67.6	0.47

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.