Melbourne v North Melbourne
2024-06-22 19:30:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

11.4

70

10.7

67

Melbourne won by 3 points

IN

Tholstrup

Brown

Tomlinson

Petracca

Billings

Laurie

OUT

IN

Stephens

Simpkin

Stephenson

Dawson

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		84%	37 points	✓	33.5	0.74
Aggregate		84%	37 points	✓	33.7	0.74
		92%	61 points	✓	58.1	0.89
		92%	43 points	✓	40.4	0.88
		92%	50 points	✓	47.0	0.88
		91%	46 points	✓	43.0	0.86
		90%	40 points	✓	37.0	0.85
		90%	41 points	✓	37.5	0.84
		88%	41 points	✓	38.0	0.81
		87%	38 points	✓	35.0	0.80
		87%	36 points	✓	32.8	0.80
		87%	41 points	✓	38.0	0.80
		86%	55 points	✓	52.0	0.78
		86%	39 points	✓	36.0	0.78
		86%	34 points	✓	31.4	0.78
		85%	33 points	✓	30.2	0.77
		85%	37 points	✓	34.5	0.76
		85%	37 points	✓	34.1	0.76
		85%	43 points	✓	39.9	0.76
		83%	34 points	✓	31.1	0.74
		83%	41 points	✓	38.0	0.73
		81%	32 points	✓	28.7	0.70
		81%	34 points	✓	31.0	0.70
Punters		80%	29 points	✓	25.6	0.68
		78%	38 points	✓	35.0	0.64
		77%	23 points	✓	20.3	0.62
		76%	27 points	✓	24.0	0.60
		75%	22 points	✓	19.0	0.58
		70%	21 points	✓	18.4	0.49
		66%	10 points	✓	6.6	0.40

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.