Port Adelaide v Brisbane Lions
2024-06-22 13:45:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

10.13

73

23.14

152

Brisbane Lions won by 79 points

IN

Evans

Sinn

Sweet

Finlayson

Boak

Soldo

Williams

Georgiades

OUT

IN

Brain

Wilmot

Answerth

Reville

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		54%	3 points	✓	75.8	0.10
Aggregate		54%	3 points	✓	75.6	0.11
		62%	9 points	✓	70.1	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	69.5	0.30
		61%	9 points	✓	69.6	0.28
		61%	9 points	✓	70.0	0.28
		60%	10 points	✓	69.0	0.26
		60%	8 points	✓	71.1	0.26
		60%	11 points	✓	67.8	0.25
		60%	9 points	✓	70.2	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	71.0	0.24
		57%	6 points	✓	72.7	0.20
		57%	5 points	✓	74.2	0.19
		57%	6 points	✓	73.4	0.18
		56%	5 points	✓	74.0	0.16
		55%	4 points	✓	75.5	0.12
		54%	3 points	✓	76.0	0.11
Punters		54%	5 points	✓	74.5	0.10
		53%	3 points	✓	76.4	0.09
		53%	1 point	✓	78.0	0.08
		52%	2 points	✓	76.9	0.06
		52%	3 points	✓	76.0	0.06
		52%	2 points	✓	77.0	0.05
		50%	0 points	✗	79.2	-0.01
		50%	2 points	✗	81.4	-0.01
		51%	1 point	✗	80.0	-0.02
		54%	4 points	✗	83.2	-0.13
		56%	5 points	✗	83.6	-0.19
		57%	7 points	✗	85.6	-0.22
		62%	11 points	✗	90.0	-0.38

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.