Carlton v Geelong
2024-06-21 19:40:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

21.12

138

11.9

75

Carlton won by 63 points

IN

Owies

Carroll

OUT

IN

Henry

Tuohy

Dangerfield

Bruhn

Stanley

Neale

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		57%	7 points	✓	56.2	0.18
Aggregate		58%	8 points	✓	55.5	0.22
		71%	19 points	✓	44.0	0.50
		67%	14 points	✓	49.0	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	49.5	0.41
		66%	17 points	✓	45.9	0.41
		66%	10 points	✓	52.7	0.41
		63%	13 points	✓	50.2	0.34
		62%	10 points	✓	52.7	0.31
		60%	12 points	✓	51.5	0.26
		60%	8 points	✓	55.1	0.26
		60%	8 points	✓	54.5	0.25
Punters		59%	7 points	✓	56.0	0.24
		59%	10 points	✓	53.0	0.24
		59%	8 points	✓	55.2	0.23
		57%	6 points	✓	56.9	0.19
		57%	9 points	✓	54.0	0.18
		57%	5 points	✓	58.5	0.18
		56%	0 points	✓	62.6	0.17
		56%	5 points	✓	58.0	0.17
		56%	9 points	✓	54.0	0.16
		56%	6 points	✓	57.0	0.16
		56%	6 points	✓	57.0	0.16
		55%	9 points	✓	54.0	0.14
		54%	3 points	✓	60.0	0.11
		53%	3 points	✓	60.3	0.10
		53%	3 points	✓	59.6	0.09
		52%	2 points	✓	61.0	0.04
		51%	1 point	✗	64.1	-0.04
		54%	3 points	✗	66.4	-0.12

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.