Sydney v Gold Coast
2024-04-21 13:00:00 +10:00
S.C.G.

17.8

110

8.9

57

Sydney won by 53 points

IN

Amartey

Wicks

McLean

Mitchell

OUT

IN

Rogers

Rosas

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		72%	21 points	✓	31.7	0.52
Aggregate		71%	19 points	✓	33.9	0.50
		86%	35 points	✓	18.0	0.78
		80%	25 points	✓	28.5	0.67
		79%	29 points	✓	24.0	0.66
		79%	24 points	✓	28.7	0.66
		78%	27 points	✓	26.0	0.64
		75%	16 points	✓	37.0	0.58
		74%	20 points	✓	33.1	0.57
		74%	22 points	✓	30.6	0.57
		74%	24 points	✓	29.0	0.57
		73%	22 points	✓	31.2	0.54
		73%	21 points	✓	32.4	0.54
Punters		72%	18 points	✓	35.2	0.53
		72%	21 points	✓	32.5	0.53
		71%	20 points	✓	33.0	0.51
		71%	27 points	✓	26.0	0.50
		71%	18 points	✓	35.3	0.50
		70%	26 points	✓	27.0	0.48
		69%	15 points	✓	38.5	0.45
		68%	12 points	✓	40.7	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	37.0	0.45
		68%	19 points	✓	34.0	0.44
		67%	18 points	✓	34.7	0.43
		65%	20 points	✓	33.0	0.38
		63%	14 points	✓	39.4	0.34
		60%	10 points	✓	43.3	0.26
		60%	2 points	✓	50.6	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	44.0	0.24
		58%	7 points	✓	46.2	0.22

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.