Collingwood v Port Adelaide
M.C.G.
17.21
123
12.9
81
Collingwood won by 42 points
IN
Cox
Hoskin-Elliott
OUT
IN
Sweet
McEntee
Dixon
Powell-Pepper
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s10
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 37.7 | 0.13 | |
Aggregate
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 37.6 | 0.12 | |
63% | 14 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.31 | ||
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 32.8 | 0.29 | ||
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 33.6 | 0.29 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 32.4 | 0.28 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 33.3 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.26 | ||
59% | 11 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.23 | ||
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 35.7 | 0.22 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.19 | ||
57% | 9 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.18 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.17 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.16 | ||
Punters
|
55% | 11 points | ✓ | 30.6 | 0.15 | |
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.13 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 39.1 | 0.12 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 41.3 | 0.06 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.06 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 40.4 | 0.05 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 40.8 | 0.04 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 40.9 | 0.04 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 41.2 | 0.02 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.00 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.00 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 44.5 | -0.07 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.08 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.12 | ||
60% | 11 points | ✗ | 53.4 | -0.32 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.