Hawthorn v Geelong
M.C.G.
10.10
70
17.4
106
Geelong won by 36 points
IN
Hustwaite
Meek
Morrison
Reeves
Maginness
Watson
OUT
IN
Conway
Bowes
Bruhn
Duncan
Atkins
Dangerfield
Stanley
Tuohy
Dempsey
Mannagh
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s10
|
62% | 13 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.31 | |
Aggregate
|
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 22.1 | 0.36 | |
77% | 36 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.62 | ||
77% | 28 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.62 | ||
77% | 28 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.62 | ||
75% | 16 points | ✓ | 19.5 | 0.58 | ||
75% | 34 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.58 | ||
74% | 22 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.57 | ||
74% | 22 points | ✓ | 14.5 | 0.56 | ||
Punters
|
68% | 15 points | ✓ | 20.9 | 0.45 | |
68% | 18 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.44 | ||
66% | 21 points | ✓ | 14.5 | 0.41 | ||
66% | 17 points | ✓ | 19.1 | 0.40 | ||
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 23.7 | 0.37 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 21.9 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 15 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.36 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 24.6 | 0.34 | ||
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 26.3 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 7 points | ✓ | 28.6 | 0.31 | ||
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 26.8 | 0.30 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.25 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.24 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.24 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 30.5 | 0.15 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 31.4 | 0.15 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.13 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 32.2 | 0.12 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 32.8 | 0.11 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.11 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 34.2 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.