Port Adelaide v Melbourne
Adelaide Oval
13.11
89
15.6
96
Melbourne won by 7 points
IN
McEntee
Evans
OUT
IN
Hore
Woewodin
May
Sparrow
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 16.2 | -0.29 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 12.4 | -0.17 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
67% | 22 points | ✗ | 29.1 | -0.60 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.51 |
|
Punters
|
|
64% | 10 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.49 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 16.4 | -0.39 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 14.3 | -0.31 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 15.4 | -0.31 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 12.8 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 12.3 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 12.7 | -0.17 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 12.7 | -0.17 |
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.17 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 10.8 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 9.8 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.5 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.5 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 8.2 | -0.04 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 6.6 | 0.02 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
55% | 2 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.13 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.