Fremantle v Adelaide
2024-03-29 19:20:00 +11:00
Perth Stadium

9.15

69

4.10

34

Fremantle won by 35 points

IN

O'Meara

Hughes

OUT

IN

Borlase

Sholl

McHenry

Milera

Berry

Butts

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		55%	5 points	✓	29.6	0.14
Aggregate		57%	6 points	✓	28.9	0.18
		77%	26 points	✓	9.0	0.62
		67%	11 points	✓	24.3	0.42
		66%	15 points	✓	20.0	0.40
		65%	15 points	✓	20.4	0.38
		63%	11 points	✓	23.8	0.33
		63%	10 points	✓	25.5	0.32
		61%	12 points	✓	23.4	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	25.9	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	25.9	0.27
		60%	8 points	✓	27.0	0.27
		59%	8 points	✓	27.0	0.24
		59%	13 points	✓	22.0	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	26.4	0.23
		57%	6 points	✓	29.2	0.20
Punters		57%	6 points	✓	29.1	0.19
		56%	5 points	✓	29.7	0.17
		56%	6 points	✓	29.0	0.16
		56%	7 points	✓	28.0	0.15
		54%	4 points	✓	31.0	0.11
		51%	2 points	✓	33.5	0.03
		50%	1 point	✓	34.0	0.01
		50%	0 points	✗	35.0	0.00
		50%	0 points	✗	35.1	-0.01
		51%	1 point	✗	36.0	-0.03
		52%	2 points	✗	36.6	-0.06
		53%	6 points	✗	41.3	-0.10
		54%	3 points	✗	38.0	-0.11
		60%	7 points	✗	42.3	-0.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.