Essendon v Fremantle

Docklands
16.11
107
14.8
92

Match complete
Essendon won by 15 points

IN
Hocking
Colyer
Watson
Green
Hooker
Bird
OUT
IN
Collins
Griffin
Sheridan
Kersten
Neale
McCarthy
Darcy
Logue
Nyhuis
Deluca
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
82% 39 points 23.70.71
Squiggle
Essendon
88% 45 points 30.00.82
Punters
Essendon
86% 0.79
Graft
Essendon
86% 46 points 31.00.78
Matter of Stats
Essendon
84% 35 points 20.30.74
The Arc
Essendon
81% 31 points 16.00.69
Figuring Footy
Essendon
79% 0.67
Footy Maths Institute
Essendon
76% 36 points 21.00.60
PlusSixOne
Essendon
72% 39 points 24.00.54

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 23, 2017