Hawthorn v Western Bulldogs
Docklands
15.9
99
13.12
90
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 9 points
IN
Morrison
Shiels
Henderson
Burton
OUT
IN
Lipinski
Campbell
Boyd
Stringer
Dickson
Cloke
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 51% | 2 points | ✗ | 10.9 | -0.03 | |
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 22.6 | -0.48 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.13 | ||
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.03 | ||
Punters | 50% | ✗ | 0.00 | |||
52% | ✓ | 0.05 | ||||
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.05 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.06 | ||
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.