Sydney v Carlton
S.C.G.
21.12
138
8.9
57
Match complete
Sydney won by 81 points
IN
Newman
Cunningham
Hannebery
Papley
OUT
IN
Graham
Armfield
Plowman
Silvagni
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 90% | 53 points | ✓ | 27.8 | 0.85 | |
95% | ✓ | 0.92 | ||||
95% | 51 points | ✓ | 29.7 | 0.92 | ||
93% | 56 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.90 | ||
92% | 59 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.88 | ||
Punters | 90% | ✓ | 0.85 | |||
88% | 43 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.82 | ||
87% | 57 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.80 | ||
79% | 53 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.66 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.