Collingwood v Melbourne

M.C.G.
14.15
99
12.11
83

Match complete
Collingwood won by 16 points

IN
Kirby
Goldsack
Grundy
Reid
Blair
Smith
OUT
IN
Salem
Watts
Stretch
Wagner
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
54% 0 points 16.4-0.12
Punters
Melbourne
71% -0.76
Figuring Footy
Melbourne
64% -0.46
Squiggle
Melbourne
53% 1 point 17.0-0.09
The Arc
Melbourne
53% 2 points 18.0-0.09
PlusSixOne
Melbourne
52% 3 points 19.0-0.06
Graft
Melbourne
51% 1 point 17.0-0.03
Footy Maths Institute
Collingwood
50% 1 point 15.00.00
Matter of Stats
Collingwood
60% 8 points 7.70.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 23, 2017