Collingwood v Melbourne
M.C.G.
14.15
99
12.11
83
Match complete
Collingwood won by 16 points
IN
Kirby
Goldsack
Grundy
Reid
Blair
Smith
OUT
IN
Salem
Watts
Stretch
Wagner
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 54% | 0 points | ✗ | 16.4 | -0.12 | |
Punters | 71% | ✗ | -0.76 | |||
64% | ✗ | -0.46 | ||||
53% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.09 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.09 | ||
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.06 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.03 | ||
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.00 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.27 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.