Richmond v Carlton
2019-08-11 15:20:00
M.C.G.

11.7

73

6.9

45

Match complete
Richmond won by 28 points

IN

Ross

Stack

Nankervis

Martin

Butler

Soldo

OUT

IN

McGovern

Thomas

Kreuzer

Jones

Kennedy

Phillips

Goddard

Schumacher

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		77%	27 points	✓	0.8	0.63
		90%	42 points	✓	13.7	0.85
		89%	40 points	✓	12.0	0.83
		83%	31 points	✓	2.6	0.73
		83%	29 points	✓	1.0	0.73
		82%	30 points	✓	2.0	0.71
		79%	40 points	✓	12.0	0.67
		79%	17 points	✓	11.0	0.66
Punters		78%	26 points	✓	2.2	0.65
		77%	38 points	✓	10.0	0.62
		76%	23 points	✓	5.0	0.60
		75%	24 points	✓	4.0	0.59
		75%	24 points	✓	4.0	0.58
		71%	23 points	✓	5.4	0.51
		67%	17 points	✓	11.1	0.43
		67%	16 points	✓	12.4	0.43
		67%	17 points	✓	11.0	0.42

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.