Port Adelaide v Sydney
Adelaide Oval
15.13
103
7.14
56
Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 47 points
IN
Wines
Butters
OUT
IN
Bell
Rampe
Jack
Rose
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 68% | 18 points | ✓ | 29.4 | 0.45 | |
83% | 34 points | ✓ | 12.9 | 0.73 | ||
80% | 33 points | ✓ | 14.2 | 0.67 | ||
78% | 24 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.64 | ||
Punters | 73% | 23 points | ✓ | 24.5 | 0.54 | |
72% | 20 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.52 | ||
71% | 20 points | ✓ | 26.9 | 0.50 | ||
69% | 23 points | ✓ | 23.9 | 0.46 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.44 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.40 | ||
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 11 points | ✓ | 35.6 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 15 points | ✓ | 32.2 | 0.37 | ||
63% | 17 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.33 | ||
60% | 5 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.25 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.20 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.