Essendon v Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium
4.9
33
21.11
137
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 104 points
IN
Begley
McNiece
McKernan
Baguley
Myers
Heppell
Saad
Parish
Guelfi
Francis
Hartley
Snelling
OUT
IN
Hayes
Duryea
Daniel
Liberatore
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 106.6 | -0.08 |
 |
|
70% | 16 points | ✗ | 120.0 | -0.75 |
 |
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 113.0 | -0.36 |
 |
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 117.0 | -0.32 |
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 112.4 | -0.26 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 110.0 | -0.19 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 109.0 | -0.18 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 109.0 | -0.17 |
 |
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 107.6 | -0.09 |
 |
|
53% | 1 point | ✗ | 105.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 105.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 104.0 | -0.01 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 100.8 | 0.08 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 100.2 | 0.14 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 98.1 | 0.18 |
| Punters | |
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 97.4 | 0.19 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 97.2 | 0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.