St Kilda v Fremantle
Marvel Stadium
10.12
72
10.9
69
Match complete
St Kilda won by 3 points
IN
Paton
Hannebery
Newnes
Acres
Steven
Gresham
McKenzie
Brown
Parker
Langlands
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.4 | 0.22 |
 |
|
72% | 19 points | ✓ | 16.4 | 0.52 |
 |
|
70% | 16 points | ✓ | 13.1 | 0.49 |
 |
|
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.38 |
| Punters | |
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 11.4 | 0.36 |
 |
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.33 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.29 |
 |
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.29 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.8 | 0.27 |
 |
|
57% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.18 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.16 |
 |
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
54% | 6 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.11 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.04 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.5 | 0.02 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.04 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.