Port Adelaide v Geelong
Adelaide Oval
9.13
67
8.8
56
Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 11 points
IN
Garner
Dixon
Ebert
Wines
Ryder
Westhoff
Powell-Pepper
Lienert
OUT
IN
Fort
Ratugolea
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 22.6 | -0.42 |
 |
|
80% | 33 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -1.31 |
 |
|
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -1.08 |
 |
|
76% | 16 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -1.05 |
 |
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.74 |
 |
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 27.3 | -0.65 |
| Punters | |
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 23.8 | -0.52 |
 |
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 21.2 | -0.45 |
 |
|
63% | 17 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.43 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 22.1 | -0.39 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.39 |
 |
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.39 |
 |
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 18.7 | -0.20 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 16.1 | -0.16 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.11 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.08 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.29 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.