St Kilda v Brisbane Lions
Marvel Stadium
8.11
59
17.13
115
Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 56 points
IN
Hannebery
Carlisle
Brown
White
OUT
IN
Christensen
McInerney
Lester
Taylor
Robertson
Smith
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 55.1 | 0.03 |
 |
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 41.8 | 0.40 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.22 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 50.2 | 0.18 |
| Punters | |
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 50.5 | 0.16 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 51.7 | 0.10 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 55.0 | 0.06 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 55.0 | 0.06 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 55.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 55.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 55.5 | 0.01 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 57.4 | -0.05 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.16 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 60.8 | -0.17 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 61.4 | -0.18 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.33 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.