Melbourne v Fremantle
2019-06-22 13:45:00
M.C.G.

13.7

85

11.5

71

Match complete
Melbourne won by 14 points

IN

Petty

Lockhart

Smith

Neal-Bullen

Hibberd

Lever

Garlett

Spargo

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		56%	7 points	✓	7.4	0.16
		68%	17 points	✓	3.1	0.44
		66%	21 points	✓	7.0	0.40
		65%	11 points	✓	2.7	0.37
		63%	11 points	✓	3.0	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	3.0	0.33
Punters		60%	9 points	✓	4.8	0.25
		58%	7 points	✓	6.8	0.22
		58%	10 points	✓	4.5	0.21
		58%	7 points	✓	7.0	0.21
		57%	7 points	✓	7.0	0.19
		55%	3 points	✓	10.8	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	10.0	0.11
		51%	1 point	✓	13.0	0.04
		51%	0 points	✓	13.7	0.03
		60%	8 points	✗	22.0	-0.33
		70%	7 points	✗	21.0	-0.72

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.