Sydney v Hawthorn
S.C.G.
12.10
82
9.9
63
Match complete
Sydney won by 19 points
IN
Hayward
Jones
Kennedy
McVeigh
Thurlow
McCartin
OUT
IN
Morrison
Roughead
Stratton
Cousins
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 14.3 | 0.15 |
 |
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 7.9 | 0.37 |
| Punters | |
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.33 |
 |
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.28 |
 |
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.26 |
 |
|
60% | 12 points | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.25 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.25 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.19 |
 |
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.16 |
 |
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.13 |
 |
|
53% | 1 point | ✓ | 17.7 | 0.08 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.3 | 0.07 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.05 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.02 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.07 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 26.2 | -0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.