Carlton v Western Bulldogs
2019-06-15 19:25:00
Marvel Stadium

100

103

Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 3 points

IN

Murphy

Silvagni

OUT

IN

Dickson

Crozier

Gowers

Young

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		64%	13 points	✓	10.3	0.35
		76%	28 points	✓	25.0	0.61
		75%	23 points	✓	20.0	0.58
		74%	20 points	✓	17.3	0.56
		66%	17 points	✓	14.1	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	11.0	0.40
		65%	19 points	✓	15.9	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	10.5	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	11.2	0.38
		64%	18 points	✓	15.0	0.36
Punters		63%	12 points	✓	9.2	0.34
		60%	9 points	✓	6.0	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	5.0	0.25
		59%	4 points	✓	1.0	0.25
		56%	5 points	✓	1.7	0.17
		56%	6 points	✓	3.2	0.17
		51%	1 point	✓	2.0	0.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.