Carlton v Western Bulldogs

Marvel Stadium

100

103

Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 3 points

IN
Murphy
Silvagni
OUT
IN
Dickson
Crozier
Gowers
Young
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Western Bulldogs
64% 13 points 10.30.35
Western Bulldogs
76% 28 points 25.00.61
Western Bulldogs
75% 23 points 20.00.58
Western Bulldogs
74% 20 points 17.30.56
Western Bulldogs
66% 17 points 14.10.41
Western Bulldogs
66% 14 points 11.00.40
Western Bulldogs
65% 19 points 15.90.39
Western Bulldogs
65% 14 points 10.50.38
Western Bulldogs
65% 14 points 11.20.38
Western Bulldogs
64% 18 points 15.00.36
Punters
Western Bulldogs
63% 12 points 9.20.34
Western Bulldogs
60% 9 points 6.00.25
Western Bulldogs
59% 8 points 5.00.25
Western Bulldogs
59% 4 points 1.00.25
Western Bulldogs
56% 5 points 1.70.17
Western Bulldogs
56% 6 points 3.20.17
Western Bulldogs
51% 1 points 2.00.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 13, 2019