Adelaide v Richmond

Adelaide Oval

101

68

Match complete
Adelaide won by 33 points

IN
Chol
Menadue
Broad
Ellis
Edwards
Cotchin
Townsend
Soldo
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
66% 16 points 17.10.41
Adelaide
87% 37 points 3.60.80
Punters
Adelaide
80% 32 points 1.20.68
Adelaide
74% 25 points 8.40.57
Adelaide
74% 31 points 2.30.56
Adelaide
71% 20 points 13.40.51
Adelaide
68% 19 points 14.30.44
Adelaide
65% 11 points 22.00.38
Adelaide
65% 13 points 20.00.38
Adelaide
65% 9 points 24.00.38
Adelaide
62% 12 points 21.00.31
Adelaide
62% 11 points 22.00.31
Adelaide
61% 11 points 21.70.29
Adelaide
61% 9 points 24.00.28
Adelaide
56% 5 points 28.40.17
Adelaide
56% 5 points 28.00.16
Adelaide
55% 7 points 26.00.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 13, 2019