Essendon v Hawthorn

Marvel Stadium

96

77

Match complete
Essendon won by 19 points

IN
Fantasia
Stringer
Shiel
Baguley
Francis
McNiece
OUT
IN
Moore
Brand
McEvoy
Wingard
Lewis
Pittonet
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
56% 5 points 13.80.16
AFL Lab
Essendon
67% 9 points 10.00.42
Fat Stats
Essendon
65% 18 points 0.70.38
Massey Ratings
Essendon
65% 11 points 8.00.38
Matter of Stats
Essendon
62% 9 points 10.20.30
AFL Gains
Essendon
59% 7 points 12.30.23
The Arc
Essendon
57% 6 points 13.00.19
Punters
Essendon
57% 7 points 11.80.18
Squiggle
Essendon
55% 4 points 14.60.13
Stattraction
Essendon
54% 4 points 15.00.12
Footy Maths Institute
Essendon
54% 5 points 14.00.11
Swinburne
Essendon
53% 2 points 17.00.08
AFLalytics
Essendon
53% 2 points 16.80.07
PlusSixOne
Essendon
53% 3 points 16.50.07
HPN
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 19.5-0.02
Graft
Hawthorn
51% 0 points 19.0-0.03
Live Ladders
Hawthorn
55% 4 points 23.0-0.15

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 13, 2019