Essendon v Hawthorn
Marvel Stadium
14.12
96
11.11
77
Match complete
Essendon won by 19 points
IN
Fantasia
Stringer
Shiel
Baguley
Francis
McNiece
OUT
IN
Moore
Brand
McEvoy
Wingard
Lewis
Pittonet
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 13.8 | 0.16 |
 |
|
67% | 9 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.42 |
 |
|
65% | 18 points | ✓ | 0.7 | 0.38 |
 |
|
65% | 11 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.38 |
 |
|
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 10.2 | 0.30 |
 |
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 12.3 | 0.23 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.19 |
| Punters | |
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 11.8 | 0.18 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 14.6 | 0.13 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.12 |
 |
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.11 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.08 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 16.8 | 0.07 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 16.5 | 0.07 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 19.5 | -0.02 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.