Essendon v Hawthorn

Marvel Stadium

96

77

Match complete
Essendon won by 19 points

IN
Fantasia
Stringer
Shiel
Baguley
Francis
McNiece
OUT
IN
Moore
Brand
McEvoy
Wingard
Lewis
Pittonet
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
56% 5 points 13.80.16
Essendon
67% 9 points 10.00.42
Essendon
65% 18 points 0.70.38
Essendon
65% 11 points 8.00.38
Essendon
62% 9 points 10.20.30
Essendon
59% 7 points 12.30.23
Essendon
57% 6 points 13.00.19
Punters
Essendon
57% 7 points 11.80.18
Essendon
55% 4 points 14.60.13
Essendon
54% 4 points 15.00.12
Essendon
54% 5 points 14.00.11
Essendon
53% 2 points 17.00.08
Essendon
53% 2 points 16.80.07
Essendon
53% 3 points 16.50.07
Hawthorn
51% 1 points 19.5-0.02
Hawthorn
51% 0 points 19.0-0.03
Hawthorn
55% 4 points 23.0-0.15

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 13, 2019