Fremantle v Port Adelaide

Perth Stadium

100

79

Match complete
Fremantle won by 21 points

IN
Logue
Darcy
Hill
Lobb
Pearce
Cerra
OUT
IN
Hartlett
Broadbent
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
50% 0 points 21.4-0.01
Port Adelaide
62% 15 points 35.6-0.40
Port Adelaide
62% 6 points 27.0-0.38
Port Adelaide
54% 3 points 24.0-0.11
Port Adelaide
52% 2 points 22.9-0.06
Port Adelaide
51% 1 points 22.0-0.04
Port Adelaide
51% 0 points 21.4-0.03
Port Adelaide
50% 1 points 22.00.00
Fremantle
51% 1 points 20.10.03
Fremantle
51% 0 points 21.00.03
Fremantle
52% 2 points 19.30.06
Punters
Fremantle
52% 3 points 18.50.07
Fremantle
53% 2 points 19.00.08
Fremantle
53% 2 points 19.30.09
Fremantle
53% 3 points 18.00.09
Fremantle
54% 4 points 17.30.12
Fremantle
57% 6 points 15.00.18

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 13, 2019