Fremantle v Port Adelaide
Perth Stadium
15.10
100
12.7
79
Match complete
Fremantle won by 21 points
IN
Logue
Darcy
Hill
Lobb
Pearce
Cerra
OUT
IN
Hartlett
Broadbent
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 21.4 | -0.01 |
 |
|
62% | 15 points | ✗ | 35.6 | -0.40 |
 |
|
62% | 6 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.38 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.11 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.9 | -0.06 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.04 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 21.4 | -0.03 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 22.0 | 0.00 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 20.1 | 0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 19.3 | 0.06 |
| Punters | |
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 18.5 | 0.07 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.08 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 19.3 | 0.09 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.09 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 17.3 | 0.12 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.18 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.