Essendon v Carlton
2019-06-02 15:20:00
M.C.G.

11.8

74

4.9

33

Match complete
Essendon won by 41 points

IN

Clarke

Baguley

Shiel

Stringer

OUT

IN

Setterfield

Fasolo

Lang

Simpson

Thomas

McGovern

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		74%	24 points	✓	16.8	0.56
		86%	32 points	✓	9.0	0.78
		83%	31 points	✓	10.0	0.73
		82%	48 points	✓	7.0	0.72
		81%	29 points	✓	12.3	0.69
		79%	41 points	✓	0.0	0.66
		77%	25 points	✓	16.2	0.62
		77%	26 points	✓	15.0	0.62
		76%	21 points	✓	19.5	0.60
		74%	23 points	✓	18.0	0.57
		74%	20 points	✓	21.0	0.56
		72%	28 points	✓	13.2	0.52
		70%	21 points	✓	19.5	0.48
		69%	20 points	✓	21.2	0.46
Punters		67%	17 points	✓	24.0	0.43
		65%	7 points	✓	34.0	0.37
		52%	1 point	✗	42.3	-0.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.