Essendon v Carlton

M.C.G.

74

33

Match complete
Essendon won by 41 points

IN
Clarke
Baguley
Shiel
Stringer
OUT
IN
Setterfield
Fasolo
Lang
Simpson
Thomas
McGovern
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
74% 24 points 16.80.56
Massey Ratings
Essendon
86% 32 points 9.00.78
Swinburne
Essendon
83% 31 points 10.00.73
Stattraction
Essendon
82% 48 points 7.00.72
Matter of Stats
Essendon
81% 29 points 12.30.69
Footy Maths Institute
Essendon
79% 41 points 0.00.66
AFLalytics
Essendon
77% 25 points 16.20.62
Graft
Essendon
77% 26 points 15.00.62
AFL Gains
Essendon
76% 21 points 19.50.60
The Arc
Essendon
74% 23 points 18.00.57
Live Ladders
Essendon
74% 20 points 21.00.56
Fat Stats
Essendon
72% 28 points 13.20.52
Squiggle
Essendon
70% 21 points 19.50.48
PlusSixOne
Essendon
69% 20 points 21.20.46
Punters
Essendon
67% 17 points 24.00.43
AFL Lab
Essendon
65% 7 points 34.00.37
HPN
Carlton
52% 1 point 42.3-0.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 11, 2019