Collingwood v Fremantle
M.C.G.
11.9
75
11.13
79
Match complete
Fremantle won by 4 points
IN
Moore
Varcoe
De Goey
Wells
Madgen
Wills
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
81% | 33 points | ✗ | 36.7 | -1.39 |
 |
|
90% | 45 points | ✗ | 48.8 | -2.39 |
 |
|
90% | 42 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -2.32 |
 |
|
89% | 44 points | ✗ | 47.8 | -2.22 |
 |
|
85% | 52 points | ✗ | 55.5 | -1.73 |
 |
|
84% | 31 points | ✗ | 35.1 | -1.66 |
 |
|
84% | 35 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -1.62 |
| Punters | |
83% | 35 points | ✗ | 38.7 | -1.54 |
 |
|
83% | 31 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -1.52 |
 |
|
80% | 26 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -1.34 |
 |
|
80% | 43 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -1.32 |
 |
|
80% | 29 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -1.31 |
 |
|
80% | 35 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -1.29 |
 |
|
76% | 27 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -1.06 |
 |
|
70% | 10 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.75 |
 |
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 22.4 | -0.75 |
 |
|
70% | 21 points | ✗ | 24.7 | -0.72 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.