Collingwood v Fremantle

M.C.G.

75

79

Match complete
Fremantle won by 4 points

IN
Moore
Varcoe
De Goey
Wells
Madgen
Wills
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Collingwood
81% 33 points 36.7-1.39
Matter of Stats
Collingwood
90% 45 points 48.8-2.39
Swinburne
Collingwood
90% 42 points 46.0-2.32
AFLalytics
Collingwood
89% 44 points 47.8-2.22
Fat Stats
Collingwood
85% 52 points 55.5-1.73
AFL Gains
Collingwood
84% 31 points 35.1-1.66
The Arc
Collingwood
84% 35 points 39.0-1.62
Punters
Collingwood
83% 35 points 38.7-1.54
Live Ladders
Collingwood
83% 31 points 35.0-1.52
Massey Ratings
Collingwood
80% 26 points 30.0-1.34
Footy Maths Institute
Collingwood
80% 43 points 47.0-1.32
Graft
Collingwood
80% 29 points 33.0-1.31
Squiggle
Collingwood
80% 35 points 39.0-1.29
Stattraction
Collingwood
76% 27 points 31.0-1.06
AFL Lab
Collingwood
70% 10 points 14.0-0.75
HPN
Collingwood
70% 18 points 22.4-0.75
PlusSixOne
Collingwood
70% 21 points 24.7-0.72

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 11, 2019