Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn
Gabba
12.13
85
10.6
66
Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 19 points
IN
Smith
Keays
Robertson
Mathieson
Lester
Walker
McInerney
Hinge
OUT
IN
Lewis
Smith
Morrison
Scrimshaw
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 14.6 | 0.14 |
 |
|
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.41 |
 |
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 8.2 | 0.36 |
 |
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.34 |
| Punters | |
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 10.5 | 0.23 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 11.4 | 0.23 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.21 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.19 |
 |
|
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 12.4 | 0.15 |
 |
|
54% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.10 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.10 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 16.9 | 0.06 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.00 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.01 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.05 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 24.3 | -0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.