Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn

Gabba

85

66

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 19 points

IN
Smith
Keays
Robertson
Mathieson
Lester
Walker
McInerney
Hinge
OUT
IN
Lewis
Smith
Morrison
Scrimshaw
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Brisbane Lions
55% 4 points 14.60.14
Matter of Stats
Brisbane Lions
66% 13 points 5.90.41
AFL Gains
Brisbane Lions
64% 11 points 8.20.36
AFLalytics
Brisbane Lions
63% 12 points 7.50.34
Punters
Brisbane Lions
59% 9 points 10.50.23
HPN
Brisbane Lions
59% 8 points 11.40.23
The Arc
Brisbane Lions
58% 7 points 12.00.21
Swinburne
Brisbane Lions
57% 6 points 13.00.19
Fat Stats
Brisbane Lions
56% 7 points 12.40.15
AFL Lab
Brisbane Lions
54% 1 point 18.00.10
Massey Ratings
Brisbane Lions
53% 3 points 16.00.10
Squiggle
Brisbane Lions
52% 2 points 16.90.06
Footy Maths Institute
Brisbane Lions
50% 1 point 18.00.00
Graft
Hawthorn
50% 1 point 20.0-0.01
Stattraction
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 20.0-0.03
Live Ladders
Hawthorn
52% 1 point 20.0-0.05
PlusSixOne
Hawthorn
55% 5 points 24.3-0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 11, 2019