Melbourne v Adelaide
Marrara Oval
12.16
88
14.6
90
Match complete
Adelaide won by 2 points
IN
Kennedy Harris
Weideman
Hannan
Hibberd
Wagner
Hore
Lockhart
Petty
OUT
IN
Mackay
Jenkins
Gibbs
Lynch
Knight
Hartigan
Himmelberg
Jones
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.26 |
 |
|
76% | 16 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.60 |
 |
|
67% | 14 points | ✓ | 11.6 | 0.43 |
 |
|
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.42 |
 |
|
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.37 |
 |
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.36 |
| Punters | |
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 8.2 | 0.29 |
 |
|
61% | 13 points | ✓ | 10.8 | 0.28 |
 |
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.27 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.9 | 0.21 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.20 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.19 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.7 | 0.18 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 3.6 | 0.15 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.10 |
 |
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.08 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.