Melbourne v Adelaide

Marrara Oval

88

90

Match complete
Adelaide won by 2 points

IN
Kennedy Harris
Weideman
Hannan
Hibberd
Wagner
Hore
Lockhart
Petty
OUT
IN
Mackay
Jenkins
Gibbs
Lynch
Knight
Hartigan
Himmelberg
Jones
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
60% 9 points 6.70.26
AFL Lab
Adelaide
76% 16 points 14.00.60
AFL Gains
Adelaide
67% 14 points 11.60.43
Matter of Stats
Adelaide
67% 15 points 13.00.42
Massey Ratings
Adelaide
65% 12 points 10.00.37
The Arc
Adelaide
64% 12 points 10.00.36
Punters
Adelaide
61% 10 points 8.20.29
Fat Stats
Adelaide
61% 13 points 10.80.28
Stattraction
Adelaide
60% 10 points 8.00.27
HPN
Adelaide
58% 7 points 4.90.21
Graft
Adelaide
57% 7 points 5.00.20
Live Ladders
Adelaide
57% 6 points 4.00.19
AFLalytics
Adelaide
57% 7 points 4.70.18
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
56% 6 points 3.60.15
Squiggle
Adelaide
54% 4 points 1.50.10
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
53% 4 points 2.00.08
Swinburne
Melbourne
54% 3 points 5.0-0.12

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 11, 2019