Fremantle v Brisbane Lions
Perth Stadium
10.13
73
10.12
72
Match complete
Fremantle won by 1 point
IN
Bewley
Taberner
OUT
IN
Hodge
Taylor
Berry
Mathieson
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.20 |
 |
|
69% | 15 points | ✓ | 13.8 | 0.46 |
 |
|
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.45 |
 |
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.33 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.31 |
 |
|
61% | 12 points | ✓ | 10.9 | 0.30 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.23 |
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.9 | 0.21 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.18 |
 |
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.8 | 0.18 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.15 |
| Punters | |
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.8 | 0.14 |
 |
|
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.3 | 0.07 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.0 | -0.02 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.0 | -0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.