Sydney v Collingwood
S.C.G.
11.7
73
11.14
80
Match complete
Collingwood won by 7 points
IN
Kennedy
Franklin
Jones
Rowbottom
OUT
IN
Madgen
Wells
Langdon
Varcoe
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 69% | 17 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.46 | |
85% | 16 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.76 | ||
81% | 27 points | ✓ | 20.4 | 0.70 | ||
79% | 27 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.65 | ||
78% | 27 points | ✓ | 19.6 | 0.64 | ||
75% | 23 points | ✓ | 16.4 | 0.58 | ||
74% | 22 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.57 | ||
74% | 24 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.56 | ||
70% | 19 points | ✓ | 11.9 | 0.49 | ||
Punters | 66% | 15 points | ✓ | 7.8 | 0.40 | |
64% | 17 points | ✓ | 10.2 | 0.36 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.33 | ||
60% | 13 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.26 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 2.9 | 0.25 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.23 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.21 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.