Melbourne v Greater Western Sydney

M.C.G.

68

94

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 26 points

IN
Wagner
Spargo
Neal-Bullen
Salem
OUT
IN
Cumming
Coniglio
Williams
Lloyd
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Greater Western Sydney
61% 11 points 15.20.29
Matter of Stats
Greater Western Sydney
78% 26 points 0.20.64
AFL Lab
Greater Western Sydney
75% 21 points 5.00.59
Stattraction
Greater Western Sydney
68% 18 points 8.00.43
Massey Ratings
Greater Western Sydney
67% 15 points 11.00.41
Squiggle
Greater Western Sydney
64% 15 points 11.20.36
Fat Stats
Greater Western Sydney
63% 16 points 9.80.34
Punters
Greater Western Sydney
62% 12 points 14.20.32
Swinburne
Greater Western Sydney
62% 10 points 16.00.31
AFLalytics
Greater Western Sydney
60% 10 points 15.60.26
HPN
Greater Western Sydney
58% 7 points 19.10.21
AFL Gains
Greater Western Sydney
57% 5 points 20.70.19
Graft
Greater Western Sydney
55% 5 points 21.00.15
PlusSixOne
Greater Western Sydney
55% 5 points 21.10.13
Live Ladders
Greater Western Sydney
54% 4 points 22.00.12
The Arc
Greater Western Sydney
52% 2 points 24.00.05
Footy Maths Institute
Greater Western Sydney
51% 2 points 24.00.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 10, 2019