Hawthorn v Port Adelaide
2019-05-25 13:45:00
York Park

12.8

80

6.13

49

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 31 points

IN

Pittonet

Frawley

Wingard

McEvoy

Lewis

Moore

OUT

IN

Ladhams

Jonas

Gray

Lycett

Atley

Garner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		54%	4 points	✓	27.2	0.10
		61%	11 points	✓	20.0	0.30
		61%	15 points	✓	16.0	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	21.0	0.28
Punters		57%	7 points	✓	23.8	0.19
		57%	6 points	✓	25.0	0.18
		55%	6 points	✓	25.4	0.13
		53%	2 points	✓	29.0	0.08
		53%	2 points	✓	28.6	0.08
		53%	3 points	✓	28.0	0.08
		52%	0 points	✓	30.9	0.07
		51%	1 point	✓	30.0	0.03
		51%	1 point	✓	30.2	0.02
		51%	1 point	✓	30.4	0.02
		50%	0 points	✓	30.8	0.01
		53%	3 points	✗	33.5	-0.10
		55%	2 points	✗	33.0	-0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.