Essendon v Fremantle
2019-05-18 19:25:00
Marvel Stadium

8.12

60

7.11

53

Match complete
Essendon won by 7 points

IN

Begley

McNiece

Langford

Baguley

Daniher

Fantasia

Smith

Myers

Clarke

Ham

OUT

IN

Duman

Blakely

Colyer

Nyhuis

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		68%	17 points	✓	10.4	0.43
		77%	26 points	✓	19.0	0.63
		77%	37 points	✓	30.0	0.62
		76%	26 points	✓	19.0	0.60
		75%	26 points	✓	18.7	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	16.0	0.57
		71%	21 points	✓	14.0	0.50
		70%	17 points	✓	9.6	0.48
		69%	24 points	✓	17.3	0.47
		66%	14 points	✓	7.0	0.41
		65%	13 points	✓	6.0	0.39
Punters		65%	15 points	✓	7.8	0.39
		62%	7 points	✓	0.0	0.31
		61%	11 points	✓	4.3	0.29
		60%	8 points	✓	0.9	0.27
		59%	10 points	✓	2.9	0.25
		51%	1 point	✓	6.1	0.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.