Geelong v Western Bulldogs
Kardinia Park
21.7
133
13.11
89
Match complete
Geelong won by 44 points
IN
Fort
Abbott
Selwood
Stanley
Ratugolea
Atkins
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 79% | 31 points | ✓ | 13.4 | 0.65 | |
90% | 50 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.85 | ||
88% | 37 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.81 | ||
88% | 37 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.81 | ||
83% | 38 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.74 | ||
83% | 32 points | ✓ | 11.9 | 0.73 | ||
82% | 33 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.72 | ||
82% | 30 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.71 | ||
81% | 31 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.70 | ||
Punters | 79% | 30 points | ✓ | 14.5 | 0.67 | |
79% | 41 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.66 | ||
77% | 23 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.62 | ||
76% | 30 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.60 | ||
72% | 28 points | ✓ | 15.9 | 0.53 | ||
72% | 23 points | ✓ | 20.6 | 0.52 | ||
71% | 21 points | ✓ | 23.5 | 0.51 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 38.3 | 0.18 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.