Collingwood v St Kilda
M.C.G.
17.10
112
10.11
71
Match complete
Collingwood won by 41 points
IN
Aish
Varcoe
Beams
De Goey
Moore
Elliott
OUT
IN
Young
Marsh
Webster
Long
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 77% | 28 points | ✓ | 13.3 | 0.63 | |
94% | 53 points | ✓ | 12.1 | 0.91 | ||
88% | 42 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.82 | ||
85% | 33 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.76 | ||
81% | 32 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.70 | ||
80% | 42 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.68 | ||
79% | 12 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.65 | ||
77% | 26 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.63 | ||
Punters | 77% | 25 points | ✓ | 16.2 | 0.62 | |
76% | 30 points | ✓ | 10.9 | 0.60 | ||
75% | 25 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.59 | ||
75% | 22 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.58 | ||
74% | 32 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.57 | ||
73% | 24 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.55 | ||
70% | 21 points | ✓ | 20.3 | 0.48 | ||
69% | 15 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.47 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 30.6 | 0.31 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.