Brisbane Lions v Adelaide

Gabba

93

92

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 1 point

IN
Hinge
Mathieson
Walker
Hodge
Cutler
Bailey
OUT
IN
Jones
Gibbs
Crouch
Knight
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
50% 0 points 1.3-0.01
AFL Lab
Adelaide
64% 9 points 10.0-0.47
Fat Stats
Adelaide
63% 16 points 16.9-0.44
Massey Ratings
Adelaide
56% 5 points 6.0-0.17
Live Ladders
Adelaide
55% 4 points 5.0-0.15
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
54% 4 points 4.6-0.11
AFL Gains
Adelaide
54% 3 points 3.7-0.11
Graft
Adelaide
53% 3 points 4.0-0.08
Stattraction
Adelaide
52% 2 points 3.0-0.06
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
52% 3 points 4.0-0.06
Swinburne
Adelaide
50% 0 points 1.00.00
The Arc
Brisbane Lions
52% 2 points 1.00.05
Squiggle
Brisbane Lions
52% 2 points 1.00.05
Punters
Brisbane Lions
54% 5 points 3.50.12
Matter of Stats
Brisbane Lions
57% 5 points 3.70.18
AFLalytics
Brisbane Lions
64% 14 points 13.10.35
HPN
Brisbane Lions
68% 16 points 14.70.43

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 9, 2019