Brisbane Lions v Adelaide
Gabba
13.15
93
13.14
92
Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 1 point
IN
Hinge
Mathieson
Walker
Hodge
Cutler
Bailey
OUT
IN
Jones
Gibbs
Crouch
Knight
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 1.3 | -0.01 |
 |
|
64% | 9 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.47 |
 |
|
63% | 16 points | ✗ | 16.9 | -0.44 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.17 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.15 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 4.6 | -0.11 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 3.7 | -0.11 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.08 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.06 |
 |
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.06 |
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 1.0 | 0.00 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.05 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.05 |
| Punters | |
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.5 | 0.12 |
 |
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.7 | 0.18 |
 |
|
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 13.1 | 0.35 |
 |
|
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 14.7 | 0.43 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.