Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

More Models

Posted on April 13, 2018April 13, 2018 by Max Barry

Exciting times with two new models added to the Squiggle dials:

  • Ranking Software, also known as AFL Live Ladder , also known as Darren O’Shaughnessy, one of the absolute doyens of AFL analytics
  • Stattraction, also known as statisticc from Reddit’s r/afl

And that’s not all! Two more big ones coming next week.

CategoriesUncategorized

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Dangerous Extrapolations
Next PostNext Swinburne University joins Squiggle

Wins % Range
1
 Western Bulldogs 16.4 130%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–5
2
 Adelaide 14.8 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–8
3
 Hawthorn 14.6 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–8
4
 Gold Coast 14.5 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–7
5
 Geelong 14.3 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–7
6
 Sydney 14.0 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–10
7
 Brisbane Lions 13.5 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–11
8
 GWS 12.9 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–10
9
 Collingwood 12.9 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–10
10
 Fremantle 12.6 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–11
11
 Melbourne 11.1 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–14
12
 St Kilda 9.6 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–15
13
 North Melbourne 9.2 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–15
14
 Carlton 9.2 86%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–15
15
 Port Adelaide 8.2 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–16
16
 Richmond 6.7 78%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–18
17
 Essendon 6.4 75%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–18
18
 West Coast 6.0 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–18

After Round 1, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Sydney 2 – – 182.9%
+12.0
6
2
 Gold Coast 2 – – 181.6%
+12.5
4
3
 Western Bulldogs 2 – – 154.1%
+14.4
1
4
 North Melbourne 1∗ – – 168.7%
+8.2
13
5
 Adelaide 1∗ – – 117.7%
+13.8
2
6
 Hawthorn 1 1 – 117.1%
+13.6
3
7
 Melbourne 1∗ – – 112.1%
+10.1
11
8
 Collingwood 1 1 – 98.7%
+11.9
9
9
 Geelong 1 1 – 79.6%
+13.3
5
10
 GWS 1 1 – 76.4%
+11.9
8
11
 Carlton 1 1 – 70.9%
+8.2
14
12
 Richmond –∗ 1 – 94.7%
+6.7
16
13
 Fremantle –∗ 1 – 90.9%
+12.6
10
14
 St Kilda – 2 – 87.4%
+9.6
12
15
 Brisbane Lions – 2 – 77.2%
+13.5
7
16
 Port Adelaide –∗ 1 – 59.3%
+8.2
15
17
 Essendon –∗ 1 – 57.2%
+6.4
17
18
 West Coast –∗ 1 – 55.0%
+6.0
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8

12 2.3769 2.38 27.3750 27.38 85.7143 85.7%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8

11 4.0283 4.03 26.7750 26.77 78.5714 78.6%
HBin

4 7

11 3.5042 3.50 28.8643 28.86 78.5714 78.6%
AFLalytics

4 7

11 3.3327 3.33 27.4707 27.47 78.5714 78.6%
Graft

3 7

10 3.9031 3.90 29.3571 29.36 71.4286 71.4%
Matter of Stats

3 7

10 3.5612 3.56 27.8314 27.83 71.4286 71.4%
Glicko Ratings

3 7

10 3.2245 3.22 28.5521 28.55 71.4286 71.4%
The Wooden Finger

2 8

10 3.2082 3.21 28.5000 28.50 71.4286 71.4%
s10

2 8

10 3.1862 3.19 28.3743 28.37 71.4286 71.4%
footycharts

3 7

10 3.0396 3.04 28.4864 28.49 71.4286 71.4%
AFL Scorigami

3 7

10 2.7587 2.76 29.4029 29.40 71.4286 71.4%
Drop Kick Data

3 7

10 2.5594 2.56 27.6786 27.68 71.4286 71.4%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7

10 2.5299 2.53 27.7214 27.72 71.4286 71.4%
The Cruncher

2 7

9 3.4687 3.47 27.3514 27.35 64.2857 64.3%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7

9 3.4523 3.45 29.4514 29.45 64.2857 64.3%
Aggregate

2 7

9 2.9669 2.97 28.6971 28.70 64.2857 64.3%
Informed Stats

2 7

9 2.9224 2.92 30.5000 30.50 64.2857 64.3%
ZaphBot

2 7

9 2.8505 2.85 33.2143 33.21 64.2857 64.3%
Live Ladders

2 7

9 2.5736 2.57 29.6429 29.64 64.2857 64.3%
The Footycast

2 7

9 2.3345 2.33 31.5571 31.56 64.2857 64.3%
PlusSixOne

2 7

9 2.2805 2.28 30.3214 30.32 64.2857 64.3%
AFL Lab

2 7

9 2.0440 2.04 32.5079 32.51 64.2857 64.3%
Elo Predicts!

3 6

9 2.0220 2.02 32.1429 32.14 64.2857 64.3%
Stattraction

2 6

8 2.7690 2.77 29.9714 29.97 57.1429 57.1%
Winnable

1 7

8 2.6729 2.67 29.8636 29.86 57.1429 57.1%
Punters

2 6

8 2.3708 2.37 29.1814 29.18 57.1429 57.1%
Squiggle

1 7

8 2.2263 2.23 31.4879 31.49 57.1429 57.1%
In The Game

2 6

8 2.1944 2.19 29.5821 29.58 57.1429 57.1%
Hyperion

3 5

8 1.4319 1.43 31.5000 31.50 57.1429 57.1%
Cheap Stats

3 5

8 0.8409 0.84 33.0000 33.00 57.1429 57.1%
Massey Ratings

2 4

6 1.1606 1.16 35.5833 35.58 †2 50.0000 50.0%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
  • Holy Grail Ratings
  • In The Game
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.