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Why can’t the Eagles fly?

Posted on April 23, 2017April 23, 2017 by Max Barry

The Arc takes a look at win rates on the road:

The difference between the Eagles’ win percentage in their home state (75.6%) and interstate (53%) is 22.6% – the third largest in the league, but not a million miles away from some other quality teams.

Source: Why can’t the Eagles fly? | The Arc

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Previous PostPrevious Are North and Hawthorn bad, or have they just faced a tough draw?
Next PostNext Matter of Stats Team Dashboard for Round 5

Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 17.5 138%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 17.3 138%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Adelaide 15.2 130%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Brisbane Lions 14.8 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
5
 Gold Coast 14.6 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 Western Bulldogs 14.0 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Hawthorn 13.3 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Fremantle 13.2 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
9
 GWS 12.4 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 Carlton 10.3 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Sydney 10.2 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
12
 St Kilda 9.9 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 Melbourne 10.0 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 Essendon 10.2 81%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Port Adelaide 8.8 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 North Melbourne 6.4 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 5.5 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 West Coast 4.2 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 3 games of Round 13, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 10∗ 2 – 136.9%
+7.5
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 9 3 1 112.6%
+5.3
4
3
 Adelaide 9 4 – 137.2%
+6.2
3
4
 Gold Coast 8∗ 3 – 127.8%
+6.6
5
5
 Geelong 8∗ 4 – 124.8%
+9.3
2
6
 Hawthorn 8 5 – 111.8%
+5.3
7
7
 GWS 7∗ 5 – 109.4%
+5.4
9
8
 Fremantle 7∗ 5 – 106.4%
+6.2
8
9
 Western Bulldogs 6∗ 6 – 122.1%
+8.0
6
10
 Essendon 6∗ 5 – 84.6%
+4.2
14
11
 St Kilda 5∗ 7 – 93.1%
+4.9
12
12
 Sydney 5 8 – 90.1%
+5.2
11
13
 Melbourne 5∗ 7 – 87.6%
+5.0
13
14
 Carlton 4∗ 7 – 102.8%
+6.3
10
15
 Port Adelaide 4∗ 7 – 79.1%
+4.8
15
16
 Richmond 3 10 – 69.4%
+2.5
17
17
 North Melbourne 2∗ 8 1 78.1%
+3.9
16
18
 West Coast 1∗ 11 – 64.5%
+3.2
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 2

81 17.03 27.72 75.0%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 2

80 16.89 27.45 74.1%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 2

79 18.01 27.92 73.1%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 2

79 17.98 27.43 73.1%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 2

79 16.87 27.52 73.1%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 2

79 16.34 28.12 73.1%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 2

78 18.19 27.38 72.2%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 2

78 17.02 27.46 72.2%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 2

78 15.86 28.90 72.2%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 2

78 15.28 27.88 72.2%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 2

77 19.24 27.08 71.3%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 2

77 16.43 27.60 71.3%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 2

77 15.55 29.13 71.3%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 2

76 18.04 27.12 70.4%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 2

76 15.36 28.30 70.4%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 2

76 14.12 27.49 70.4%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 2

75 16.78 27.75 69.4%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 2

74 16.43 27.31 68.5%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 2

74 15.48 28.49 68.5%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 2

74 14.62 28.28 68.5%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 1

73 14.08 28.74 67.6%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 2

73 9.70 29.99 67.6%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 2

71 15.91 28.09 65.7%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 2

71 13.06 29.36 65.7%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 1

69 13.45 28.29 63.9%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 2

69 12.24 28.94 63.9%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 1

68 11.97 29.53 63.0%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 2

68 8.08 29.89 63.0%

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