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Why can’t the Eagles fly?

Posted on April 23, 2017April 23, 2017 by Max Barry

The Arc takes a look at win rates on the road:

The difference between the Eagles’ win percentage in their home state (75.6%) and interstate (53%) is 22.6% – the third largest in the league, but not a million miles away from some other quality teams.

Source: Why can’t the Eagles fly? | The Arc

CategoriesThe Arc

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Previous PostPrevious Are North and Hawthorn bad, or have they just faced a tough draw?
Next PostNext Matter of Stats Team Dashboard for Round 5

Wins % Range
1
Fremantle 19.8 143%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Sydney 16.9 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Hawthorn 16.0 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3
4
Brisbane Lions 15.5 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4
5
Adelaide 14.7 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–6
6
Geelong 14.0 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–9
7
Melbourne 14.1 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–8
8
Western Bulldogs 13.9 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–9
9
Collingwood 13.4 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
10
St Kilda 11.3 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10–11
11
GWS 10.3 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–13
12
Carlton 10.5 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10–12
13
North Melbourne 9.1 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12–14
14
Gold Coast 8.5 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–15
15
Port Adelaide 7.9 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14–15
16
West Coast 5.2 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16
17
Essendon 2.8 65%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17–18
18
Richmond 2.9 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17–18

After Round 20, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Fremantle 17 2 – 146.0%
+2.8
1
2
Sydney 14 5 – 130.0%
+2.9
2
3
Hawthorn 13 5 1 124.0%
+2.5
3
4
Brisbane Lions 13 6 – 120.6%
+2.5
4
5
Adelaide 12 7 – 113.7%
+2.7
5
6
Melbourne 12 7 – 107.8%
+2.1
7
7
Western Bulldogs 12 7 – 96.8%
+1.9
8
8
Collingwood 11 7 1 107.7%
+1.9
9
9
Geelong 11 8 – 116.5%
+3.0
6
10
St Kilda 9 10 – 105.8%
+2.3
10
11
Carlton 9 10 – 92.4%
+1.5
12
12
GWS 8 11 – 98.3%
+2.3
11
13
North Melbourne 8 11 – 89.6%
+1.1
13
14
Gold Coast 7 12 – 94.8%
+1.5
14
15
Port Adelaide 6 13 – 95.6%
+1.9
15
16
West Coast 4 15 – 70.1%
+1.2
16
17
Essendon 2 17 – 65.4%
+0.8
17
18
Richmond 2 17 – 60.9%
+0.9
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 7

131 42.6924 42.69 24.8156 24.82 76.6082 76.6%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8

130 44.5723 44.57 25.3743 25.37 76.0234 76.0%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8

129 41.3549 41.35 24.4277 24.43 75.4386 75.4%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 6 7

129 28.8962 28.90 25.1774 25.18 75.4386 75.4%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8

127 43.8119 43.81 24.8736 24.87 74.2690 74.3%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 6 8

127 42.4921 42.49 25.0103 25.01 74.2690 74.3%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8

126 43.4799 43.48 24.9319 24.93 73.6842 73.7%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8

126 41.4053 41.41 24.9328 24.93 73.6842 73.7%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 6 8

126 38.5802 38.58 25.3985 25.40 73.6842 73.7%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8

125 44.8103 44.81 25.3112 25.31 73.0994 73.1%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8

125 41.4430 41.44 25.3509 25.35 73.0994 73.1%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 6 8

125 38.4788 38.48 25.4777 25.48 73.0994 73.1%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 6 8

124 41.9194 41.92 26.1754 26.18 72.5146 72.5%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8

124 39.3719 39.37 25.7809 25.78 72.5146 72.5%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8

123 42.2078 42.21 25.4438 25.44 71.9298 71.9%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 6 8

123 41.1191 41.12 24.9658 24.97 71.9298 71.9%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 6 8

122 40.5968 40.60 25.1098 25.11 71.3450 71.3%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 6 8

122 40.0703 40.07 25.2091 25.21 71.3450 71.3%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 7

122 37.3784 37.38 25.1427 25.14 71.3450 71.3%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 6 7

122 31.7547 31.75 26.2118 26.21 †1 71.7647 71.8%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8 5 7

121 38.0017 38.00 26.4224 26.42 †2 71.5976 71.6%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 7 8

121 37.7346 37.73 25.3450 25.34 70.7602 70.8%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 7 7

121 32.9273 32.93 25.7041 25.70 70.7602 70.8%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6 8

119 38.1063 38.11 25.7778 25.78 69.5906 69.6%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 6 7

118 39.3132 39.31 26.4903 26.49 69.0058 69.0%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8

118 37.5821 37.58 26.4561 26.46 69.0058 69.0%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 5 8

117 35.8795 35.88 25.6139 25.61 68.4211 68.4%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 6 8

117 35.3955 35.40 26.6491 26.65 68.4211 68.4%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7 8

117 34.9882 34.99 25.9074 25.91 †9 72.2222 72.2%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 6 7

117 32.1208 32.12 26.7903 26.79 68.4211 68.4%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 8

106 37.5951 37.60 26.1438 26.14 †25 72.6027 72.6%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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