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0-4 Futures

Posted on April 19, 2017 by Max Barry

Here’s every AFL/VFL team that’s ever started the season 0-4. 1975 Roos the only one to win >12 in the regular season. pic.twitter.com/eakwXKEnqo

— The Arc (@TheArcFooty) April 19, 2017

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Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 18.0 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Adelaide 16.3 136%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–3
3
 Geelong 15.8 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
4
 Brisbane Lions 15.9 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–4
5
 Gold Coast 15.2 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 Western Bulldogs 14.1 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–7
7
 GWS 14.5 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–8
8
 Hawthorn 14.2 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
9
 Fremantle 14.0 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 Sydney 11.4 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Port Adelaide 10.0 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
12
 Melbourne 9.0 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–13
13
 Carlton 8.8 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–13
14
 St Kilda 7.8 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Essendon 7.9 75%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 North Melbourne 6.2 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 5.5 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 West Coast 2.6 65%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 3 games of Round 19, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 14∗ 3 – 136.1%
+4.0
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 13 4 1 116.6%
+2.4
4
3
 Adelaide 12∗ 5 – 136.1%
+4.3
2
4
 Hawthorn 12 6 – 119.0%
+2.2
8
5
 GWS 12 6 – 116.0%
+2.5
7
6
 Geelong 11∗ 6 – 127.6%
+4.8
3
7
 Gold Coast 11∗ 5 – 121.8%
+4.2
5
8
 Fremantle 11∗ 6 – 109.3%
+3.0
9
9
 Western Bulldogs 10 8 – 127.4%
+4.1
6
10
 Sydney 8∗ 9 – 94.2%
+3.4
10
11
 Port Adelaide 8 10 – 88.0%
+2.0
11
12
 Carlton 6∗ 11 – 93.7%
+2.8
13
13
 Melbourne 6∗ 11 – 89.7%
+3.0
12
14
 Essendon 6∗ 11 – 75.0%
+1.9
15
15
 St Kilda 5∗ 12 – 86.2%
+2.8
14
16
 North Melbourne 4∗ 12 1 76.7%
+1.7
16
17
 Richmond 4∗ 13 – 64.4%
+1.5
17
18
 West Coast 1∗ 16 – 64.2%
+1.6
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 9 6 2

118 31.34 25.49 76.1%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 8 6 3

117 27.22 26.10 75.5%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 9 5 3

116 31.23 25.22 74.8%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 9 5 3

116 30.16 25.40 74.8%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 9 5 3

116 30.08 26.17 74.8%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 9 6 3

116 29.96 25.28 74.8%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 9 5 3

115 31.09 25.37 74.2%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 9 5 3

115 30.83 25.27 74.2%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 5 3

115 30.08 25.29 74.2%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 5 2

112 31.36 26.13 72.3%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 9 3 2

112 30.09 26.73 72.3%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 9 6 3

112 28.15 25.99 72.3%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 9 6 2

112 27.81 25.99 72.3%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 9 4 2

111 32.24 24.91 71.6%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 9 5 3

111 29.74 25.71 71.6%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 9 5 2

110 31.14 25.04 71.0%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 9 6 2

110 30.60 25.03 71.0%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 2

109 27.89 26.07 70.3%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 9 4 2

109 26.57 25.70 70.3%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 4 3

109 21.16 27.56 70.3%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 8 6 3

108 26.92 26.72 69.7%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 9 3 2

107 27.79 26.19 69.0%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 9 5 3

107 25.46 26.99 69.0%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 8 4 3

106 29.51 25.93 68.4%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 9 5 3

105 27.02 26.07 67.7%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 8 6 3

104 24.70 27.39 67.1%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 3

104 15.02 28.35 67.1%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 9 3 2

100 24.32 27.11 64.5%

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