Geelong v Richmond

M.C.G.

65

83

Match complete
Richmond won by 18 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Richmond
61% 11 points 7.00.28
Richmond
76% 29 points 10.90.60
Richmond
76% 26 points 8.00.60
Richmond
75% 24 points 6.50.59
Richmond
63% 13 points 5.00.33
Punters
Richmond
61% 0.28
Richmond
60% 8 points 10.00.25
Richmond
59% 8 points 10.00.25
Richmond
59% 8 points 10.00.23
Richmond
56% 8 points 10.00.17
Richmond
51% 1 point 17.00.02
Richmond
50% 0 points 18.00.00
Geelong
56% 5 points 23.0-0.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 13, 2018