Gold Coast v St Kilda
Carrara
11.12
78
11.14
80
Match complete
St Kilda won by 2 points
IN
Schoenfeld
Lemmens
Lyons
Scheer
Brodie
Heron
OUT
IN
Armitage
Longer
Carlisle
Billings
Hickey
Lonie
Coffield
Phillips
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 58% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.22 | |
74% | 24 points | ✓ | 21.8 | 0.57 | ||
72% | 21 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.53 | ||
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.37 | ||
Punters | 61% | ✓ | 0.29 | |||
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 8.2 | 0.27 | ||
59% | 10 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.23 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.18 | ||
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.16 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.06 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.00 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.03 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.